Talk:Hextech Crafting/@comment-44185377-20191020035205/@comment-11200708-20191020135037

5 in 947.

where 5 are the number of possible ultimates and 947 the number of possible skins.

you then multiply this by the chance of getting a skin shard in masterwork (which is 71.94%)

and you get

5 / 947 \* 0.7194*100 = % chance