User blog comment:Wubmeister/Can we predict the cycle of FotM?/@comment-4012115-20140120202256/@comment-24087642-20140121074412

If you don't have an early-game jungling steroid that makes your farming at least as good as Rammus's, you will get destroyed, because:

1) You'll be way behind for the rest of the game, because you'll have to recall before you get to use blue&red buff's potential, and you'll end up wasting a LOT of gold.

2) They will assume that your health is low when you go to red, and probably end up killing you.

I tried jungle swain, went 4/16. Yet my kdr evened out that week after only 3 other games, so don't say it's because I'm bad at Swain. I'm really not going to believe you unless you show a game where you actually did good with them. Pantheon...maaaaybe. Mal, no.