User blog comment:Wubmeister/Can we predict the cycle of FotM?/@comment-6061249-20140120172328

What i saw from all FoTM stuff - counters quite rarely become next FoTM, since it's not about their hidden strength, it's simply about countering.

Remember ? Some time after his release you could see massive flood of, and the only exact reason was the counter (which wasn't really good to be honest). After not-a-serious-nerf-yet-enough-to-keep-people-calm, he was sent back into his regular pick percent.

The game changes, so do the picks. Simple. Some counters will become new FoTM, others won't.